Macro Markets
Today we're launching Macro Markets — a global, crypto-native platform where any event that matters can become a price.
The future shouldn't be an opinion
Every week, someone on TV explains with absolute conviction what's going to happen to the economy, to the next election, to the next war, to the next product launch. And every week, they're wrong — with zero consequences.
Meanwhile, somewhere in the world, someone actually *knows*. They know because they work in the industry. They know because they read the report. They know because they live in the country. They know because they did the math. And that person has nowhere to put what they know.
Price is the most honest form of information humanity has ever invented. The moment you have to put money behind an opinion, the opinion changes. The noise disappears. What's left is signal.
Prediction markets turn dispersed knowledge into tradable truth. That's what Macro Markets exists to do — at global scale, borderless, permissionless.
What Macro Markets is
Macro Markets is a prediction markets platform where you can buy and sell contracts on the outcome of real-world events: elections, macroeconomic indicators, central bank decisions, sports championships, tech launches, geopolitical conflicts.
Each market is a question with a binary or multi-outcome answer. Each contract trades between $0 and $1. The price is the probability. If a "Brazil wins the 2026 World Cup" contract is trading at $0.18, the market is telling you there's an 18% chance. If you think it's higher, you buy. If you think it's lower, you sell.
When the event happens, the right side gets paid $1 per contract. The wrong side gets zero.
Simple. Brutally fair.
How it works — and why it's different
We built Macro Markets on an architectural choice nobody else in the space has gotten right: a hybrid order book.
Most prediction markets use AMMs — automated market makers, mathematical formulas that quote prices automatically. AMMs are great for small or new markets, but they leak liquidity at scale. Others use pure order books, which are efficient but die at launch when there's no volume.
We use both. CLOB-primary, LS-AMM as fallback. When the book has depth, you trade against other traders, tight spreads, institutional execution. When it doesn't, the AMM steps in as counterparty and guarantees the market never freezes. Best of both worlds — and it's why we can run long-tail markets and billion-dollar markets on the same rails.
The stack:
- Frontend in Next.js — fast, responsive, web and mobile
- API in Go with GraphQL — because latency matters when you're routing orders
- Settlement crypto-native, stablecoin-first, with on/off-ramps built in
- Infrastructure on AWS, designed from day one to handle global event traffic
Connect a wallet, start trading.
What's in the box
A serious prediction markets platform isn't just an order book. It's an ecosystem. We built ours with every side of the table in mind.
🤖 AI Agentic Resolution Oracle
Resolution is the Achilles' heel of prediction markets. Get a resolution wrong and you kill trust in every market on the platform. So we built a resolution oracle powered by AI agents: multiple independent agents pull primary sources, cross-check evidence, debate ambiguous cases, and produce an auditable decision. Fast like code, rigorous like a human panel.
👑 VIP System
The traders who move volume are partners to the book. Our VIP system delivers progressive rebates, reduced fees, raised limits, early access to new markets, and dedicated support. The more you trade, the more the book works for you.
🤝 Affiliate Program
We built an affiliate program with real revenue share and transparent on-chain tracking. Creators, communities, influence traders, and specialized media earn recurring commission on the volume they bring — not just on signups.
📊 Portfolio & Analytics
Full dashboard with real-time P&L, exposure by category, hit-rate history, and calibration metrics. You don't just see how much you won — you see how well you predict.
🔌 Public API
Everything the frontend does, the API does. REST and GraphQL, websockets for real-time data, full documentation. For anyone who wants to build bots, dashboards, or platforms on top of our book.
📱 Mobile-first
Web and mobile share the same experience. Low latency, instant execution, push notifications for critical events. Because the world doesn't stop — and neither do markets.
Why now
Three windows are opening at the same time. They won't stay open forever.
The first is regulatory. Prediction markets have moved from gray zone to recognized category. Crypto infrastructure has matured enough that on-chain settlement is invisible to the end user.
The second is cultural. An entire generation grew up more comfortable betting on the outcome of an election than trusting what a TV analyst says about it. Polymarket proved the demand exists. What's missing is capacity.
The third is the calendar. The 2026 World Cup is the biggest global event of the decade, and it's our launch catalyst. Billions of people with strong opinions on the outcome, and nowhere legitimate, global, and liquid to trade those opinions. We're going to be that place.
The bigger vision
Macro Markets isn't just a platform. It's infrastructure.
Our long-term vision is to be the liquidity layer other platforms build on top of — the CME Group of prediction markets. One order book, many brands, unified markets. Anyone who wants to launch a vertical prediction market (sports, politics, crypto, entertainment) will be able to do it on top of Macro, inheriting our liquidity on day one.
But that's for later. Today, here's what matters:
The world generates events. We turn those events into prices. Anyone, anywhere, can trade them.
Get involved
- 🌐 Sign up on the platform in minutes
- 💬 Join our community to follow markets in real time
- 🛠️ Building something? Talk to us about integration and API access
- 📈 Trading? Start with the 2026 World Cup markets
The future is being priced right now. The only question is whether you're in the market — or just watching it.
