<p>A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).</p>

Flávio Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Tarcisio de Freitas

Jair Bolsonaro

Fernando Haddad

Michelle Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Ratinho Júnior

Renan Santos

Ronaldo Caiado

Romeu Zema

Camilo Santana

Geraldo Alckmin

Eduardo Leite

Aldo Rebelo

Tereza Cristina

Helder Barbalho

Pablo Marçal

Augusto Cury

Brazil Presidential Election

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.

A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.

The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.

All House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Which party will win the House in 2026?

In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game.
This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Seahawks

Broncos

Seahawks vs. Broncos

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.

A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.

The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.

All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.

For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.

Senate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the United States Senate as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.

For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. 

For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.

Senate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

≤47

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

World Elections

Global Elections

Main Election

Games

Votes

House of representatives

Midterm

Formula 1

Congress

Brazil Sèrie B

Promotion

Racing

Motorsports

Earn 4%

Senate

United States

Villarreal CF

Draw (Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

CA Mineiro

Cruzeiro EC

Draw (CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC)

CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC

Coritiba FBC

EC Vitória

Draw (Coritiba FBC vs. EC Vitória)

Coritiba FBC vs. EC Vitória

CR Flamengo

CR Vasco da Gama

Draw (CR Vasco da Gama vs. CR Flamengo)

CR Vasco da Gama vs. CR Flamengo

Grêmio FBPA

CA Paranaense

Draw (Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense)

Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense

Deportivo Alavés

Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF)

Málaga CF

Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF)

Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF

Athletic Club

Draw (Athletic Club vs. Getafe CF)

Getafe CF

Athletic Club vs. Getafe CF

Real Betis Balompié

RC Celta de Vigo

Draw (RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié)

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD)

Levante UD

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD

Sevilla FC

Draw (Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna)

CA Osasuna

Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna

Real Racing Club

Draw (Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)

Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Valencia CF

Draw (Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF)

Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF

Club Atlético de Madrid

Draw (Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña)

RC Deportivo A Coruña

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña

FC Barcelona

Real Madrid CF

Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF)

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF

Red Bull Bragantino

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol)

Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

Macro Markets | Your Prediction Market Platform

Brazil Presidential Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Seahawks vs Broncos

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?