Elections

US presidential

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Tucker Carlson

John McEntee

Ted Cruz

Thomas Massie

Glenn Youngkin

Brian Kemp

Donald Trump Jr.

Byron Donalds

Nikki Haley

Ivanka Trump

Donald Trump

Joe Kent

Rand Paul

Josh Hawley

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Tom Cotton

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Tim Scott

Rick Scott

John N. Kennedy

Elon Musk

Candace Owens

Katie Britt

Pete Hegseth

Mike Pence

Doug Burgum

Kim Kardashian

Vivek Ramaswamy

Steve Bannon

Eric Trump

Elise Stefanik

Tulsi Gabbard

Kristi Noem

Greg Abbott

Erika Kirk

Tom Brady

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

John Thune

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance$17MVol.31%Yes31.1No68.8

Marco Rubio$11.5MVol.20%Yes19.8No80.3

Ron DeSantis$16.7MVol.15%Yes15No85

Tucker Carlson$14MVol.4%Yes3.8No96.3

John McEntee$1.6MVol.4%Yes3.7No96.3

Ted Cruz$20MVol.3%Yes2.9No97

Thomas Massie$6.4MVol.3%Yes2.8No97.3

Glenn Youngkin$9.1MVol.2%Yes2.4No97.7

Brian Kemp$18.5MVol.2%Yes1.7No98.4

Donald Trump Jr.$9.9MVol.2%Yes1.6No98.5

Byron Donalds$44.9MVol.<1%Yes0.85No99.2

Nikki Haley$10.9MVol.<1%Yes0.85No99.2

Ivanka Trump$9MVol.<1%Yes0.75No99.3

Donald Trump$9.9MVol.<1%Yes0.75No99.3

Joe Kent$9.9MVol.<1%Yes0.65No99.4

Rand Paul$19.9MVol.<1%Yes0.65No99.4

Josh Hawley$20.7MVol.<1%Yes0.65No99.4

Marjorie Taylor Greene$7MVol.<1%Yes0.55No99.5

Tom Cotton$2MVol.<1%Yes0.55No99.5

Sarah Huckabee Sanders$36.8MVol.<1%Yes0.55No99.5

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$17MVol.<1%Yes0.35No99.7

Tim Scott$1.8MVol.<1%Yes0.35No99.7

Rick Scott$2.1MVol.<1%Yes0.3No99.7

John N. Kennedy$2.1MVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Elon Musk$32MVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Candace Owens$1.6MVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Katie Britt$29.1MVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Pete Hegseth$9.6MVol.<1%Yes0.2No99.8

Mike Pence$43.9MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Doug Burgum$1.9MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Kim Kardashian$28.7MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Vivek Ramaswamy$16.3MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Steve Bannon$23.2MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Eric Trump$10.7MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Elise Stefanik$28.3MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Tulsi Gabbard$15.2MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Kristi Noem$37.9MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Greg Abbott$21.6MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Erika Kirk$19.2MVol.<1%Yes0.1No99.9

Tom Brady$33.3MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Mike Johnson$1MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Matt Gaetz$21MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

John Thune$38.7MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Market details

Timeline & payout