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Elections
·
US presidential
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff
28%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
16%
Yes
No
Gavin Newsom
9%
Yes
No
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Yes
No
$1.3B
Vol.
+53 markets
Jon Ossoff
28%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
16%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Elections
·
US presidential
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Jon Ossoff
18%
Yes
No
JD Vance
17%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
9%
Yes
No
$737.5M
Vol.
+54 markets
Jon Ossoff
18%
JD Vance
17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Marco Rubio
9%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Elections
·
US presidential
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
31%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
20%
Yes
No
Ron DeSantis
15%
Yes
No
Tucker Carlson
4%
Yes
No
$732.5M
Vol.
+39 markets
J.D. Vance
31%
Marco Rubio
20%
Ron DeSantis
15%
Tucker Carlson
4%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Elections
·
World elections
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
45%
Yes
No
David Lisnard
14%
Yes
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14%
Yes
No
Édouard Philippe
10%
Yes
No
$170.7M
Vol.
+42 markets
Marine Le Pen
45%
David Lisnard
14%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14%
Édouard Philippe
10%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?
40.82×
Yes
1.03×
No
$14.6M
Vol.
No
98%
Yes
2%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Trump out as President before 2027?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Sort by
A-Z
Z-A
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Popular
Newest
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Dominique de Villepin
80%
Yes
No
François Hollande
18%
Yes
No
Bernard Cazeneuve
6%
Yes
No
$133K
Vol.
15 markets
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
32%
Yes
No
Yoram Cohen
22%
Yes
No
Yair Golan
17%
Yes
No
$134.3K
Vol.
19 markets
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
One Nation
64%
Yes
No
Greens
19%
Yes
No
Labor
5%
Yes
No
$31.7K
Vol.
8 markets
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp
84%
Yes
No
Stefan Evers
13%
Yes
No
Werner Graf
<1%
Yes
No
$267.4K
Vol.
5 markets
Next Israeli government a minority government?
56%
Chance
1.77×
Yes
2.3×
No
$20.8K
Vol.
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola Tinubu
68%
Yes
No
Peter Obi
22%
Yes
No
Atiku Abubakar
2%
Yes
No
$155K
Vol.
8 markets
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
Fireworks restriction initiative
75%
Yes
No
War Material amendment
50%
Yes
No
Marriage taxation initiative
33%
Yes
No
$44.8K
Vol.
4 markets
Spain General Election: Broad Front (FA) # of seats?
9-11
48%
Yes
No
12-14
37%
Yes
No
6-8
8%
Yes
No
$21.9K
Vol.
6 markets
Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?
Jon Ossoff
97%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2%
Yes
No
Gavin Newsom
<1%
Yes
No
$27.4K
Vol.
6 markets
Spain General Election: Podemos # of seats?
0
52%
Yes
No
1
35%
Yes
No
2
10%
Yes
No
$25.5K
Vol.
6 markets
House Majority Leader of the next Congress?
Katherine Clark
96%
Yes
No
Pete Aguilar
3%
Yes
No
Tom Emmer
1%
Yes
No
$21.7K
Vol.
10 markets
Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
President
63%
Yes
No
Senate
33%
Yes
No
Neither
3%
Yes
No
$121.1K
Vol.
3 markets
Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
Benjamin Netanyahu
54%
Yes
No
No second mandate
48%
Yes
No
Avigdor Lieberman
<1%
Yes
No
$27.4K
Vol.
21 markets
Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
Chang San-cheng
93%
Yes
No
Huang Shih-chieh
7%
Yes
No
Perng Shaw-jiin
<1%
Yes
No
$90.3K
Vol.
3 markets
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmund
70%
Yes
No
Sepp Müller
2%
Yes
No
Sven Schulze
2%
Yes
No
$517.1K
Vol.
12 markets
Next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
36%
Yes
No
Avigdor Lieberman
27%
Yes
No
Yoram Cohen
26%
Yes
No
$35.6K
Vol.
18 markets
Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote?
28-30%
32%
Yes
No
26-28%
30%
Yes
No
30%+
25%
Yes
No
$26.6K
Vol.
5 markets
Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?
95%
Chance
1.06×
Yes
18.18×
No
$36.8K
Vol.
Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
Wu Hsiu-hua
86%
Yes
No
Chen Ying
13%
Yes
No
Li Wu Ying-chih
<1%
Yes
No
$23.4K
Vol.
3 markets
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↑ 30%
56%
Yes
No
↓ 20%
46%
Yes
No
↑ 35%
28%
Yes
No
$21.9K
Vol.
5 markets
Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Carlos Torres Piña
44%
Yes
No
Grecia Quiroz
32%
Yes
No
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
21%
Yes
No
$70.1K
Vol.
22 markets
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
46%
Chance
2.2×
Yes
1.83×
No
$27.9K
Vol.
Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Johnny Chiang
80%
Yes
No
Ho Hsin-chun
20%
Yes
No
Yang Chiung-ying
<1%
Yes
No
$101K
Vol.
3 markets
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Yair Lapid
39%
Yes
No
No Next Minister by Feb 28
28%
Yes
No
Naftali Bennett
4%
Yes
No
$220.3K
Vol.
15 markets
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
51%
Yes
No
David Lisnard
20%
Yes
No
Édouard Philippe
14%
Yes
No
$101.4K
Vol.
16 markets
Government shutdown by...?
December 31
37%
Yes
No
December 12
33%
Yes
No
$57.9K
Vol.
2 markets
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31?
↑ 70%
69%
Yes
No
↓ 60%
39%
Yes
No
↑ 75%
23%
Yes
No
$30.3K
Vol.
6 markets
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
Yes
No
Nathalie Arthaud
94%
Yes
No
Marine Le Pen
92%
Yes
No
$701.1K
Vol.
49 markets
Next Israeli government # of seats?
<58
64%
Yes
No
61-63
12%
Yes
No
73+
8%
Yes
No
$38K
Vol.
7 markets
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
34%
Yes
No
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
16%
Yes
No
Hili Tropper
11%
Yes
No
$140.2K
Vol.
13 markets
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
33%
Yes
No
Naftali Bennett
27%
Yes
No
Avigdor Lieberman
23%
Yes
No
$212K
Vol.
19 markets
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
Cheng Chao-fang
60%
Yes
No
Hsu Hsin-ying
38%
Yes
No
Lin Szu-ming
<1%
Yes
No
$46.8K
Vol.
4 markets
Spain General Election: Biscay Winner
EH Bildu
44%
Yes
No
PNV
25%
Yes
No
PSOE
16%
Yes
No
$25K
Vol.
7 markets
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
29%
Yes
No
Avigdor Lieberman
17%
Yes
No
Naftali Bennett
11%
Yes
No
$164.7K
Vol.
16 markets
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Yashar
79%
Yes
No
Together
77%
Yes
No
Yisrael Beiteinu
63%
Yes
No
$381.8K
Vol.
15 markets
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen
91%
Yes
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
52%
Yes
No
David Lisnard
17%
Yes
No
$549.1K
Vol.
37 markets
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