Elections

World elections

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. 

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Marine Le Pen

David Lisnard

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Édouard Philippe

Christine Lagarde

Teddy Riner

Raphaël Glucksmann

Jordan Bardella

Dominique de Villepin

François Hollande

Bruno Retailleau

Gabriel Attal

Éric Zemmour

François Baroin

Sébastien Lecornu

Sarah Knafo

Ségolène Royal

François Asselineau

Carole Delga

Gérald Darmanin

Marine Tondelier

Mathilde Panot

Fabien Roussel

François Ruffin

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Valérie Pécresse

Bernard Cazeneuve

Laurent Wauquiez

Clémentine Autain

Olivier Faure

Manuel Bompard

Marion Maréchal

François Bayrou

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Jean Castex

Élisabeth Borne

Lucie Castets

Anasse Kazib

Juan Branco

Yannick Jadot

Sylvain Durif

Clémence Guetté

Karim Bouamrane

Natacha Polony

Xavier Bertrand

Michel Barnier

Next French Presidential Election

English

Spanish

Portuguese

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen$5.3MVol.45%Yes45.3No54.8

David Lisnard$7.2MVol.14%Yes14No86.1

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$3.6MVol.14%Yes13.5No86.5

Édouard Philippe$3.2MVol.10%Yes9.5No90.5

Christine Lagarde$2.9MVol.6%Yes5.9No94.2

Teddy Riner$299.4KVol.3%Yes2.5No97.5

Raphaël Glucksmann$3.6MVol.2%Yes2.4No97.7

Jordan Bardella$3.7MVol.2%Yes2.1No97.9

Dominique de Villepin$3.6MVol.2%Yes1.8No98.2

François Hollande$3.2MVol.2%Yes1.8No98.3

Bruno Retailleau$3.9MVol.1%Yes1.1No98.9

Gabriel Attal$3.8MVol.<1%Yes0.45No99.6

Éric Zemmour$3.6MVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

François Baroin$2MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Sébastien Lecornu$2.8MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Sarah Knafo$3.4MVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Ségolène Royal$7MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

François Asselineau$6.3MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Carole Delga$4.7MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Gérald Darmanin$2.1MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Marine Tondelier$4.6MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Mathilde Panot$6.4MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Fabien Roussel$4.3MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

François Ruffin$4.9MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$4.9MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Valérie Pécresse$4.1MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Bernard Cazeneuve$2.5MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Laurent Wauquiez$3.7MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Clémentine Autain$5MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Olivier Faure$6.4MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Manuel Bompard$5.3MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Marion Maréchal$1.1MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

François Bayrou$5.9MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Yaël Braun-Pivet$5.9MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Jean Castex$2.1MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Élisabeth Borne$5.6MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Lucie Castets$423.8KVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Anasse Kazib$50Vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Juan Branco$2.4MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Yannick Jadot$750.5KVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Sylvain Durif$51.8KVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Clémence Guetté$4.2MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Karim Bouamrane$1.3MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Natacha Polony$186.9KVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Xavier Bertrand$7MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Michel Barnier$5.3MVol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Market details

Timeline & payout