Elections

World elections

Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.

Yashar

Together

Yisrael Beiteinu

The Democrats

United Torah Judaism

Ra'am

Likud

Shas

RZP-Zehut

Otzma Yehudit

Joint List

Amcha Yisrael

Noam

Blue and White

New Economic Party / The Reservists

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

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Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar$32.4KVol.79%Yes79No21

Together$29.9KVol.77%Yes77No23

Yisrael Beiteinu$14.5KVol.63%Yes62.5No37.5

The Democrats$13.9KVol.60%Yes59.5No40.5

United Torah Judaism$30.6KVol.54%Yes53.5No46.5

Ra'am$50.9KVol.27%Yes27No73

Likud$42.8KVol.25%Yes25No75

Shas$45.6KVol.25%Yes25No75

RZP-Zehut$29.6KVol.23%Yes23No77

Otzma Yehudit$33.6KVol.12%Yes12No88

Joint List$16.7KVol.6%Yes5.7No94.3

Amcha Yisrael$9.5KVol.3%Yes2.8No97.2

Noam$16.3KVol.2%Yes2.4No97.6

Blue and White$3.2KVol.2%Yes1.9No98.1

New Economic Party / The Reservists$12.5KVol.2%Yes1.7No98.3

Market details

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