Elections

World elections

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of National Security in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.

To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of National Security will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.

The individual must be appointed as “Minister of National Security” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.

If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of National Security are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no such Minister of National Security assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Yoram Cohen

Yair Golan

Yoav Segalovich

Talya Lankri

Avi Dichter

Itamar Ben Gvir

Amir Ohana

Ofer Winter

Matan Kahana

Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)

Gideon Sa’ar

Eli Cohen

Elazar Stern

Yossi Cohen

Ram Ben-Barak

Meirav Ben-Ari

Yoaz Hendel

Bezalel Smotrich

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

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Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 28$56.9KVol.32%Yes31.5No68.5

Yoram Cohen$14.4KVol.22%Yes22No78

Yair Golan$3.1KVol.17%Yes17.2No82.8

Yoav Segalovich$2.8KVol.8%Yes7.5No92.5

Talya Lankri$8.3KVol.5%Yes5.3No94.7

Avi Dichter$2.5KVol.5%Yes4.9No95.2

Itamar Ben Gvir$6.5KVol.4%Yes3.9No96.2

Amir Ohana$1.9KVol.3%Yes3.2No96.8

Ofer Winter$9.6KVol.3%Yes2.9No97

Matan Kahana$12.3KVol.3%Yes2.9No97.2

Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)$756.2Vol.2%Yes2.3No97.8

Gideon Sa’ar$2.5KVol.2%Yes2.1No98

Eli Cohen$1.5KVol.2%Yes1.8No98.3

Elazar Stern$4.2KVol.1%Yes1.1No98.9

Yossi Cohen$2.7KVol.1%Yes1No99

Ram Ben-Barak$569.8Vol.<1%Yes0.4No99.6

Meirav Ben-Ari$545Vol.<1%Yes0.4No99.6

Yoaz Hendel$826.8Vol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Bezalel Smotrich$2.4KVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

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