Elections

World elections

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.

To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.

The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.

If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Avigdor Lieberman

Yoram Cohen

Aryeh Deri

Michael Malchieli

Miri Regev

Moshe Arbel

Yoav Ben-Tzur

Keren Terner Eyal

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)

Yariv Levin

Yair Golan

Israel Katz

Ayelet Shaked

Eli Cohen

Meirav Cohen

Oded Forer

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

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Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 28$22.1KVol.34%Yes34No66

Avigdor Lieberman$316.8Vol.27%Yes26.9No73.1

Yoram Cohen$410.1Vol.26%Yes26.5No73.6

Aryeh Deri$545.8Vol.17%Yes16.5No83.5

Michael Malchieli$3KVol.15%Yes14.5No85.5

Miri Regev$1.1KVol.9%Yes8.8No91.3

Moshe Arbel$1.2KVol.8%Yes8.2No91.8

Yoav Ben-Tzur$2.6KVol.8%Yes8No92

Keren Terner Eyal$355.2Vol.8%Yes7.6No92.4

Orit Farkash-Hacohen$421.5Vol.8%Yes7.5No92.5

Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)$383.1Vol.6%Yes5.9No94.1

Yariv Levin$362.8Vol.4%Yes3.6No96.4

Yair Golan$304.8Vol.4%Yes3.5No96.5

Israel Katz$1.9KVol.3%Yes3.5No96.5

Ayelet Shaked$781.9Vol.3%Yes3.4No96.7

Eli Cohen$334.2Vol.3%Yes3.2No96.8

Meirav Cohen$312.4Vol.3%Yes2.5No97.5

Oded Forer$305.6Vol.1%Yes1.5No98.6

Market details

Timeline & payout