Elections

World elections

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Marine Le Pen

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

David Lisnard

Édouard Philippe

Jordan Bardella

Christine Lagarde

Raphaël Glucksmann

Gabriel Attal

Bruno Retailleau

François Hollande

Manuel Bompard

Clémence Guetté

Bernard Cazeneuve

Xavier Bertrand

Sarah Knafo

Fabien Roussel

Laurent Wauquiez

Sébastien Lecornu

François Bayrou

François Ruffin

Juan Branco

Marine Tondelier

Gérald Darmanin

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Olivier Faure

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Valérie Pécresse

Élisabeth Borne

Michel Barnier

Jean Castex

Clémentine Autain

Ségolène Royal

François Asselineau

Mathilde Panot

Éric Zemmour

Carole Delga

Dominique de Villepin

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen$33.2KVol.91%Yes90.5No9.5

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$36.2KVol.52%Yes51.5No48.5

David Lisnard$246.2KVol.17%Yes17No83

Édouard Philippe$17.1KVol.16%Yes15.5No84.5

Jordan Bardella$25KVol.8%Yes8No92

Christine Lagarde$4.9KVol.8%Yes7.5No92.5

Raphaël Glucksmann$17.1KVol.7%Yes6.8No93.2

Gabriel Attal$9.4KVol.5%Yes5.3No94.7

Bruno Retailleau$4.4KVol.5%Yes4.8No95.3

François Hollande$20.7KVol.4%Yes4.2No95.8

Manuel Bompard$7.3KVol.4%Yes4.1No95.9

Clémence Guetté$3.9KVol.4%Yes4No96

Bernard Cazeneuve$5.8KVol.4%Yes3.5No96.5

Xavier Bertrand$2.9KVol.4%Yes3.5No96.5

Sarah Knafo$8.2KVol.3%Yes3.5No96.5

Fabien Roussel$8.4KVol.3%Yes3.1No96.9

Laurent Wauquiez$1.8KVol.3%Yes3.1No96.9

Sébastien Lecornu$3.8KVol.3%Yes3No97

François Bayrou$4.4KVol.3%Yes2.9No97.2

François Ruffin$9.6KVol.3%Yes2.8No97.2

Juan Branco$5.9KVol.3%Yes2.8No97.2

Marine Tondelier$5.5KVol.3%Yes2.7No97.3

Gérald Darmanin$2.8KVol.3%Yes2.6No97.4

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$2.2KVol.3%Yes2.6No97.4

Olivier Faure$6.2KVol.3%Yes2.6No97.4

Yaël Braun-Pivet$4.8KVol.3%Yes2.5No97.5

Valérie Pécresse$3.3KVol.2%Yes2.5No97.5

Élisabeth Borne$7.4KVol.2%Yes2.5No97.5

Michel Barnier$3.5KVol.2%Yes2.3No97.8

Jean Castex$3.4KVol.2%Yes2.1No97.9

Clémentine Autain$6.2KVol.2%Yes2.1No97.9

Ségolène Royal$6.5KVol.2%Yes2.1No97.9

François Asselineau$2.8KVol.2%Yes1.9No98.1

Mathilde Panot$1.9KVol.2%Yes1.8No98.2

Éric Zemmour$1.3KVol.2%Yes1.6No98.4

Carole Delga$11.4KVol.2%Yes1.5No98.5

Dominique de Villepin$3.8KVol.1%Yes1.1No99

Market details

Timeline & payout