Elections

World elections

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Nathalie Arthaud

Marine Le Pen

Raphaël Glucksmann

Fabien Roussel

David Lisnard

Éric Zemmour

Édouard Philippe

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Jean Lassalle

Dominique de Villepin

Marine Tondelier

Bruno Retailleau

Teddy Riner

François Hollande

François Asselineau

Gabriel Attal

Natacha Polony

Sarah Knafo

Christine Lagarde

François Ruffin

Xavier Bertrand

Jordan Bardella

Matthieu Pigasse

Bally Bagayoko

Michel Barnier

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Sébastien Lecornu

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Philippe de Villiers

François Bayrou

Élisabeth Borne

Olivier Faure

Manuel Valls

Manuel Bompard

Carole Delga

Mathilde Panot

Gérald Darmanin

Bernard Cazeneuve

Jean Castex

Karim Bouamrane

Juan Branco

Laurent Wauquiez

Jérôme Guedj

Delphine Batho

Ségolène Royal

Clémentine Autain

Valérie Pécresse

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$34.1KVol.96%Yes95.9No4.1

Nathalie Arthaud$10KVol.94%Yes93.5No6.5

Marine Le Pen$42.6KVol.92%Yes91.5No8.5

Raphaël Glucksmann$32.9KVol.84%Yes84No16

Fabien Roussel$7.4KVol.83%Yes83No17

David Lisnard$36.3KVol.81%Yes80.5No19.5

Éric Zemmour$22KVol.71%Yes70.5No29.5

Édouard Philippe$26.7KVol.68%Yes67.5No32.5

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$3.7KVol.64%Yes63.5No36.5

Jean Lassalle$784.6Vol.49%Yes49No51

Dominique de Villepin$25.5KVol.35%Yes34.5No65.5

Marine Tondelier$17.7KVol.30%Yes29.5No70.5

Bruno Retailleau$22.6KVol.28%Yes28.5No71.5

Teddy Riner$36.7KVol.25%Yes25.1No74.9

François Hollande$48.4KVol.25%Yes25No75

François Asselineau$18.9KVol.22%Yes21.5No78.5

Gabriel Attal$23.5KVol.20%Yes19.5No80.5

Natacha Polony$40Vol.19%Yes18.5No81.5

Sarah Knafo$42.2KVol.16%Yes15.5No84.5

Christine Lagarde$722Vol.14%Yes14.5No85.5

François Ruffin$4.1KVol.14%Yes14No86

Xavier Bertrand$16.8KVol.11%Yes11.3No88.7

Jordan Bardella$35.1KVol.7%Yes7.3No92.7

Matthieu Pigasse$17.7KVol.6%Yes6.2No93.8

Bally Bagayoko$11.2KVol.6%Yes6No94

Michel Barnier$3.5KVol.6%Yes5.9No94

Jean-Michel Fauvergue$4.6KVol.6%Yes5.5No94.5

Michel-Edouard Leclerc$11.7KVol.5%Yes5.1No94.8

Sébastien Lecornu$8.8KVol.5%Yes5.1No94.9

Yaël Braun-Pivet$1.9KVol.5%Yes5No95

Philippe de Villiers$4.6KVol.5%Yes4.8No95.3

François Bayrou$5.5KVol.5%Yes4.6No95.4

Élisabeth Borne$3.7KVol.4%Yes4No96

Olivier Faure$8.6KVol.4%Yes4No96

Manuel Valls$1.3KVol.4%Yes4No96

Manuel Bompard$4.6KVol.4%Yes4No96

Carole Delga$5.2KVol.4%Yes3.9No96.1

Mathilde Panot$3.4KVol.4%Yes3.7No96.3

Gérald Darmanin$6.2KVol.4%Yes3.7No96.3

Bernard Cazeneuve$13.6KVol.4%Yes3.6No96.4

Jean Castex$4KVol.4%Yes3.6No96.4

Karim Bouamrane$11.5KVol.4%Yes3.6No96.4

Juan Branco$14.6KVol.4%Yes3.5No96.5

Laurent Wauquiez$21.7KVol.3%Yes3.3No96.7

Jérôme Guedj$8.7KVol.3%Yes3.3No96.7

Delphine Batho$5.1KVol.3%Yes2.6No97.4

Ségolène Royal$6.2KVol.2%Yes2.4No97.6

Clémentine Autain$2.9KVol.2%Yes2.2No97.8

Valérie Pécresse$1.5KVol.2%Yes2No98

Market details

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