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US Congress
Elections
·
US presidential
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Jon Ossoff
28%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
16%
Yes
No
Gavin Newsom
9%
Yes
No
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Yes
No
$1.3B
Vol.
+53 markets
Jon Ossoff
28%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
16%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Elections
·
US presidential
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Jon Ossoff
18%
Yes
No
JD Vance
17%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
9%
Yes
No
$737.5M
Vol.
+54 markets
Jon Ossoff
18%
JD Vance
17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Marco Rubio
9%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Elections
·
US presidential
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
31%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
20%
Yes
No
Ron DeSantis
15%
Yes
No
Tucker Carlson
4%
Yes
No
$732.5M
Vol.
+39 markets
J.D. Vance
31%
Marco Rubio
20%
Ron DeSantis
15%
Tucker Carlson
4%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Elections
·
World elections
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
45%
Yes
No
David Lisnard
14%
Yes
No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14%
Yes
No
Édouard Philippe
10%
Yes
No
$170.7M
Vol.
+42 markets
Marine Le Pen
45%
David Lisnard
14%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14%
Édouard Philippe
10%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Politics
Netanyahu out by...?
June 30, 2027
69%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
61%
Yes
No
December 31
50%
Yes
No
May 31
<1%
Yes
No
$125.4M
Vol.
+4 markets
June 30, 2027
69%
March 31, 2027
61%
December 31
50%
May 31
0%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Netanyahu out by...?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Sort by
A-Z
Z-A
Newest
Popular
Newest
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
5%
Chance
20.41×
Yes
1.05×
No
$78.4K
Vol.
US military draft authorized in 2026?
2%
Chance
60.61×
Yes
1.02×
No
$551.3K
Vol.
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2027
25%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
13%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
$907.5K
Vol.
3 markets
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
2%
Chance
58.82×
Yes
1.02×
No
$803.1K
Vol.
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
$66.6K
Vol.
1 markets
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
$3.2M
Vol.
1 markets
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Egypt
13%
Yes
No
Bahrain
10%
Yes
No
Kuwait
9%
Yes
No
$86.5K
Vol.
16 markets
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
No
$5.6M
Vol.
1 markets
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
9%
Chance
11.76×
Yes
1.09×
No
$3.7M
Vol.
Russia coup attempt by...?
December 31, 2027
15%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
No
$158.7K
Vol.
2 markets
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
3%
Chance
35.71×
Yes
1.03×
No
$300.1K
Vol.
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
November 30
91%
Yes
No
December 31
86%
Yes
No
$2.6M
Vol.
2 markets
Erdoğan out by...?
December 31, 2027
20%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
No
$662K
Vol.
2 markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
14%
Chance
7.41×
Yes
1.16×
No
$48.2K
Vol.
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100
71%
Yes
No
1k-2.5k
11%
Yes
No
10k-25k
6%
Yes
No
$308.8K
Vol.
8 markets
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
December 31
85%
Yes
No
November 30
59%
Yes
No
$499.5K
Vol.
2 markets
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
32%
Yes
No
Yoram Cohen
22%
Yes
No
Yair Golan
17%
Yes
No
$134.3K
Vol.
19 markets
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
One Nation
64%
Yes
No
Greens
19%
Yes
No
Labor
5%
Yes
No
$31.7K
Vol.
8 markets
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp
84%
Yes
No
Stefan Evers
13%
Yes
No
Werner Graf
<1%
Yes
No
$267.4K
Vol.
5 markets
Next Israeli government a minority government?
56%
Chance
1.77×
Yes
2.3×
No
$20.8K
Vol.
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola Tinubu
68%
Yes
No
Peter Obi
22%
Yes
No
Atiku Abubakar
2%
Yes
No
$155K
Vol.
8 markets
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
Fireworks restriction initiative
75%
Yes
No
War Material amendment
50%
Yes
No
Marriage taxation initiative
33%
Yes
No
$44.8K
Vol.
4 markets
Spain General Election: Broad Front (FA) # of seats?
9-11
48%
Yes
No
12-14
37%
Yes
No
6-8
8%
Yes
No
$21.9K
Vol.
6 markets
Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?
Jon Ossoff
97%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2%
Yes
No
Gavin Newsom
<1%
Yes
No
$27.4K
Vol.
6 markets
US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?
March 31
18%
Yes
No
December 31
4%
Yes
No
$57.8K
Vol.
2 markets
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
89%
Chance
1.12×
Yes
9.09×
No
$913.6K
Vol.
CZ # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
20-39
80%
Yes
No
40-59
24%
Yes
No
60-79
<1%
Yes
No
$20.6K
Vol.
10 markets
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
$251.8K
Vol.
1 markets
Ted Cruz # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
40-59
74%
Yes
No
60-79
26%
Yes
No
100-119
10%
Yes
No
$29.9K
Vol.
9 markets
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
3%
Chance
31.75×
Yes
1.03×
No
$85.8K
Vol.
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
12%
Yes
No
Mahmoud Khalil
9%
Yes
No
James Comey
8%
Yes
No
$684.1K
Vol.
24 markets
White House # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
160-179
86%
Yes
No
180-199
22%
Yes
No
200+
2%
Yes
No
$30.5K
Vol.
3 markets
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
$2.7M
Vol.
1 markets
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
$2.9M
Vol.
1 markets
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Elon Musk
13%
Yes
No
Keonne Rodriguez
9%
Yes
No
Steve Bannon
7%
Yes
No
$627.1K
Vol.
28 markets
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
3%
Chance
36.36×
Yes
1.03×
No
$28.3K
Vol.
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