Politics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Elon Musk

Keonne Rodriguez

Steve Bannon

Donald Brodie

Daniel Penny

Roger Stone

Ryan Salame

Himself

Matt Gaetz

Stefan Brodie

Julian Assange

Young Thug

Eric Adams

Edward Snowden

Elizabeth Holmes

Antoine Massey

Nicolas Maduro

Diddy

Joe Exotic

Roger Ver

Ghislaine Maxwell

Bob Menendez

Sam Bankman-Fried

Derek Chauvin

Martin Shkreli

Hunter Biden

Andrew Tate

Do Kwon

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Elon Musk$70.3KVol.13%Yes13.4No86.7

Keonne Rodriguez$21.4KVol.10%Yes9.5No90.5

Steve Bannon$14.5KVol.7%Yes6.8No93.3

Donald Brodie$21.1KVol.5%Yes5No95

Daniel Penny$2.1KVol.5%Yes4.9No95.1

Roger Stone$11.8KVol.5%Yes4.5No95.5

Ryan Salame$35.9KVol.5%Yes4.5No95.5

Himself$40.7KVol.4%Yes4.2No95.9

Matt Gaetz$8.5KVol.4%Yes4No96

Stefan Brodie$5KVol.4%Yes3.8No96.2

Julian Assange$6.1KVol.4%Yes3.8No96.2

Young Thug$5.5KVol.4%Yes3.7No96.3

Eric Adams$1.9KVol.4%Yes3.6No96.4

Edward Snowden$3.3KVol.4%Yes3.6No96.4

Elizabeth Holmes$9.4KVol.3%Yes3.4No96.6

Antoine Massey$2.5KVol.3%Yes3.4No96.7

Nicolas Maduro$11.4KVol.3%Yes3.3No96.7

Diddy$36.3KVol.3%Yes3No97

Joe Exotic$8KVol.3%Yes2.9No97

Roger Ver$6KVol.3%Yes2.9No97.1

Ghislaine Maxwell$33.3KVol.3%Yes2.8No97.3

Bob Menendez$3.8KVol.3%Yes2.6No97.4

Sam Bankman-Fried$163.5KVol.2%Yes2.4No97.6

Derek Chauvin$30.2KVol.2%Yes2.4No97.7

Martin Shkreli$40.6KVol.2%Yes2.3No97.7

Hunter Biden$5.7KVol.2%Yes2.2No97.8

Andrew Tate$2.1KVol.2%Yes1.8No98.3

Do Kwon$26.5KVol.1%Yes1.5No98.6

Market details

Timeline & payout