Elections

World elections

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Gabriel Attal

Éric Zemmour

Raphaël Glucksmann

Marine Le Pen

Olivier Faure

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Dominique de Villepin

François Hollande

Bernard Cazeneuve

Yaël Braun-Pivet

François Bayrou

Gérald Darmanin

Sébastien Lecornu

Mathilde Panot

Michel Barnier

Jordan Bardella

Carole Delga

Manuel Bompard

Valérie Pécresse

Élisabeth Borne

Jean Castex

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

English

Spanish

Portuguese

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Dominique de Villepin$3.1KVol.82%Yes81.5No18.5

François Hollande$4.1KVol.17%Yes17No83

Bernard Cazeneuve$5.9KVol.6%Yes5.7No94.3

Yaël Braun-Pivet$2.6KVol.4%Yes4.3No95.7

François Bayrou$3.6KVol.3%Yes2.9No97.1

Gérald Darmanin$2.5KVol.3%Yes2.6No97.4

Sébastien Lecornu$8.1KVol.3%Yes2.5No97.5

Mathilde Panot$19.7KVol.2%Yes2.5No97.5

Michel Barnier$2.6KVol.2%Yes2.5No97.5

Jordan Bardella$14.7KVol.2%Yes2.3No97.8

Carole Delga$2.4KVol.2%Yes2.3No97.8

Manuel Bompard$4.4KVol.2%Yes2.3No97.8

Valérie Pécresse$2.5KVol.2%Yes2.1No97.9

Élisabeth Borne$5.8KVol.2%Yes1.6No98.4

Jean Castex$1.9KVol.1%Yes1No99

Market details

Timeline & payout