Fórmula 1: the Grande Prêmio dos Estados Unidos in Austin
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1.The weekend's thesis
2.What is at stake
3.What decides the weekend
4.Weekend schedule
4.1.Friday, October 23
4.2.Saturday, October 24
4.3.Sunday, October 25
5.The circuit
6.The weekend's news
7.Scenarios
8.Drivers' championship: top ten
9.Constructors' championship
10.Recent form: finishing position in the last three races
11.What the market sees for Austin
12.What the market says
12.1.Qualifying Q3
12.2.Race
13.Sources
14.Read also
From first practice to the race in Austin: what's at stake in the title fight, the track, and what the market sees for the weekend.
The weekend's thesis
Kimi Antonelli arrives in Austin as championship leader on 340 points, but the driver winning races is Max Verstappen, who took the last two. The United States Grand Prix tests whether Mercedes' lead in the standings can hold up against Red Bull's better form.
What is at stake
In the drivers' championship, Antonelli has 340 points and George Russell 238; Lewis Hamilton has 229, Max Verstappen 221 and Charles Leclerc 215. In the constructors' championship, Mercedes has 578 points and Ferrari 444, with McLaren third on 339 and Red Bull fourth on 332. According to a calculation cited by ge, Antonelli's chance of clinching the title as early as Austin is 2.8%; at the Mexican GP, the same calculation reaches 93.71%.
What decides the weekend
Qualifying Q3Saturday, October 24, 18:42
Q3 sets the grid for the race, and it comes with the drivers' championship open behind the leader: Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli has 340 points; teammate George Russell 238; Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton 229; Red Bull's Max Verstappen 221. Verstappen won the last two races, Bahrain and Singapore.
United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Max Verstappen37%
Kimi Antonelli25%
Yuki Tsunoda12%
Charles Leclerc12%
George Russell9%
RaceSunday, October 25, 17:00
The race could tighten both championships. In the drivers' standings, Antonelli leads with 340 points and 8 wins, against Russell's 238 and 3 wins. In the constructors', Mercedes has 578 points and Ferrari 444. McLaren, on 339, and Red Bull, on 332, are fighting for third, well behind Ferrari.
United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Max Verstappen44%
Kimi Antonelli24%
George Russell9%
Lewis Hamilton8%
Lando Norris7%
United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish
Max Verstappen74%
Kimi Antonelli67%
George Russell40%
Lewis Hamilton34%
Charles Leclerc34%
Weekend schedule
All times are Brasília time (UTC−3).
Friday, October 23
14:30 — Free Practice 1
18:00 — Free Practice 2
Saturday, October 24
14:30 — Free Practice 3
18:00 — Qualifying Q1
18:22 — Qualifying Q2
18:42 — Qualifying Q3 · Max Verstappen 37%
Sunday, October 25
17:00 — Race · Max Verstappen 44%
The circuit
The Circuit of The Americas is 5.513 km long, and the race is 56 laps, 308.405 km in total. The lap record belongs to Charles Leclerc, set in 2019: 1:36.169. Formula 1 first raced there in 2012, at the first United States Grand Prix since Indianapolis in 2007. Turns 3 to 6 recall the Maggotts and Becketts section at Silverstone, or Suzuka's S Curves; Turns 12 to 15 mimic Hockenheim's stadium section. The climb up to the wide Turn 1 tends to produce good overtaking. ge adds that the track has long, wide straights, fast corners and big elevation changes, which demand power from the car and precision from the drivers.
The weekend's news
Haas has announced a special Godzilla livery for the United States Grand Prix, renewing the American team's partnership with Japanese studio Toho. Mercedes said that in Singapore it had mechanics who hadn't worked a pit stop in 15 years, after crew changes due to injuries, and the strain of the triple-header took its toll on the teams. Haas has also settled on Brazilian Rafael Câmara for 2027, following a test. In Austin, McLaren runs Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, Ferrari Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes George Russell and Andrea Kimi Antonelli, and Red Bull Max Verstappen and Isack Hadjar. sportv3 shows every session of the weekend live.
Scenarios
Max Verstappen starts from pole position in Austin.
Max Verstappen wins the United States Grand Prix.
Kimi Antonelli finishes the race on the podium.
Mercedes scores more points than Ferrari in the race.
Drivers' championship: top ten
Position
Driver
Team
Points
Wins
1
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Mercedes-AMG Petronas
340
8
2
George Russell
Mercedes-AMG Petronas
238
3
3
Lewis Hamilton
Scuderia Ferrari
229
1
4
Max Verstappen
Red Bull Racing
221
2
5
Charles Leclerc
Scuderia Ferrari
215
1
6
Lando Norris
McLaren Racing
201
2
7
Oscar Piastri
McLaren Racing
138
0
8
Isack Hadjar
Red Bull Racing
97
0
9
Liam Lawson
Racing Bulls
75
0
10
Pierre Gasly
Alpine F1 Team
41
0
Constructors' championship
Position
Team
Points
1
Mercedes-AMG Petronas
578
2
Scuderia Ferrari
444
3
McLaren Racing
339
4
Red Bull Racing
332
5
Racing Bulls
100
6
Alpine F1 Team
68
7
Haas F1 Team
30
8
Audi Revolut F1 Team
23
9
Williams F1 Team
12
10
Aston Martin F1 Team
7
11
Cadillac Formula 1 Team
0
Recent form: finishing position in the last three races
Driver
Team
Pos.
Points
Azerbaijan
Bahrain
Singapore
Average
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Mercedes-AMG Petronas
1
340
5
2
3
3.3
George Russell
Mercedes-AMG Petronas
2
238
1
20
9
10.0
Lewis Hamilton
Scuderia Ferrari
3
229
6
3
6
5.0
Max Verstappen
Red Bull Racing
4
221
2
1
1
1.3
Charles Leclerc
Scuderia Ferrari
5
215
4
4
2
3.3
Lando Norris
McLaren Racing
6
201
18
9
4
10.3
Oscar Piastri
McLaren Racing
7
138
14
6
5
8.3
Isack Hadjar
Red Bull Racing
8
97
3
5
10
6.0
Liam Lawson
Racing Bulls
9
75
12
7
7
8.7
Pierre Gasly
Alpine F1 Team
10
41
19
16
11
15.3
What the market sees for Austin
Market
1st
%
2nd
%
3rd
%
Vencedor da corrida
Max Verstappen
44
Kimi Antonelli
24
George Russell
9
Pole position
Max Verstappen
37
Kimi Antonelli
25
Yuki Tsunoda
12
Pódio
Max Verstappen
74
Kimi Antonelli
67
George Russell
40
What the market says
Qualifying Q3
The pole position market has Verstappen as the strongest name for Q3, with Antonelli second.
Race
The market sees Verstappen as the favorite to win in Austin, with Antonelli second; for the podium, Russell is among the three strongest names.