Tech and science

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

November 9–November 15

November 16–November 22

November 23–November 29

November 30–December 6

December 7–December 13

January 11–January 17

December 21–December 27

January 25–January 31

December 28–January 3

No release by January 31

January 4–January 10

January 18–January 24

December 14–December 20

November 2–November 8

October 26–November 1

Prior to October 26

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

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When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

November 9–November 15$31.4KVol.65%Yes64.5No35.5

November 16–November 22$12.6KVol.12%Yes11.8No88.3

November 23–November 29$3.8KVol.9%Yes8.8No91.1

November 30–December 6$10.9KVol.3%Yes2.9No97

December 7–December 13$3.4KVol.2%Yes2.2No97.8

January 11–January 17$3.9KVol.1%Yes1.3No98.8

December 21–December 27$2.4KVol.<1%Yes0.7No99.3

January 25–January 31$1.9KVol.<1%Yes0.65No99.4

December 28–January 3$2.1KVol.<1%Yes0.6No99.4

No release by January 31$5.3KVol.<1%Yes0.5No99.5

January 4–January 10$1.7KVol.<1%Yes0.4No99.6

January 18–January 24$1.4KVol.<1%Yes0.35No99.7

December 14–December 20$4.2KVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Market details

Timeline & payout