Serie A: matchday 11, from Lazio at Napoli to the bottom of the table
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Serie A matchday 11, game by game: leaders Lazio visit Napoli and four clubs within a point of each other fight to stay up.
The round's thesis
Lazio arrive in Naples as unbeaten leaders with five wins from five away games, while Inter Milan host Como and Roma host Sassuolo. The matchday is played in a single block, Friday to Sunday, and the race it shakes up most is at the bottom: four clubs separated by one point, fighting to stay up.
What is at stake
At the top, the game that can change the order is Inter Milan vs Como: Como are fourth and visit the second-placed side, so a slip by either one reshapes the race for the top places. Lazio visit Napoli and, if they lose while Inter Milan win, the two will be level on points. Roma, third, host Sassuolo, 17th, who have not won a single away game.
At the bottom, Monza, 18th, have seven points and sit one point behind Parma, Fiorentina and Sassuolo, all on eight: this matchday Parma host Bologna, Fiorentina host Juventus and Sassuolo visit Roma, so the group could break apart or bunch up even more. Venezia, bottom, and Udinese, 19th, open the matchday on Friday and the result changes who is last that same night: if Venezia win, Udinese drop to the bottom.
This round's matches
Anchor match
Napoli
Sunday, November 8
Lazio
Lazio top the table, remain unbeaten and have won all five of their away games, coming off five straight wins. Napoli are eighth and, at home, have won two of their four games. Both clubs are missing one player: Napoli are without Buongiorno and Lazio without Patric.
Venezia
Friday, November 6
Udinese
The bottom two open the matchday. Venezia have three points and Udinese five: a Venezia win lifts them off the bottom, and an Udinese win takes them to eight points, level with Parma, Fiorentina and Sassuolo. Both sides have absences, among them Udinese's Alaba and Gueye.
Roma
Saturday, November 7
Sassuolo
Roma remain unbeaten this season and have not lost any of their five home games. Sassuolo are 17th, have not won any of their five away games and arrive with five absences, against a Roma side yet to lose this season.
Genoa
Sunday, November 8
Milan
Genoa have won four of their last five games and are 11th. Milan, fifth, have not lost any of their five away games, but drew three of them: the game tests whether Genoa's good form is enough against a visitor that usually walks off without losing, but also without winning.
Inter Milan
Sunday, November 8
Como
Inter Milan have won all five of their home games. Como are fourth, have won four of their six away games and are unbeaten in their last five, so the game pits the best home record against a visitor on a run.
Fiorentina
Sunday, November 8
Juventus
Fiorentina, 16th, have yet to win at home: five games, three defeats and two draws. Juventus are seventh and have two wins from five away games. Fiorentina are without Sottil, and the game tests whether home, where they have yet to win, starts counting in their favor again.
Every match this round
All times are Brasília time (UTC−3).
Friday, November 6
16:45 — Venezia vs Udinese — Venezia beat Udinese 2-1 at home and climbed off the bottom.
Saturday, November 7
11:00 — Cagliari vs Frosinone — Cagliari beat Frosinone 1-0 at home and ended their winless run.
11:00 — Torino vs Lecce — Torino and Lecce drew 1-1.
14:00 — Parma vs Bologna — Bologna won 2-1 away at Parma.
16:45 — Roma vs Sassuolo — Roma thrashed Sassuolo 3-0 at home.
Sunday, November 8
08:30 — Napoli vs Lazio — Napoli and Lazio drew 1-1 and Lazio stayed top.
11:00 — Genoa vs Milan — Milan won 2-1 away at Genoa.
11:00 — Monza vs Atalanta — Atalanta won 1-0 away at Monza.
14:00 — Inter Milan vs Como — Inter Milan beat Como 2-0 at home.
16:45 — Fiorentina vs Juventus — Fiorentina and Juventus drew 2-2.
The round
The matchday opens on Friday with Venezia vs Udinese, a head-to-head between the bottom two. On Saturday, Cagliari, winless in their last five games, host sixth-placed Frosinone; Torino, who have won three of their last five, host Lecce, 14th; Parma host ninth-placed Bologna in a game that shows whether Parma can pull away from the group below; and Roma host Sassuolo.
Sunday holds what matters most. Napoli host Lazio early in the day Brasília time, and Inter Milan take the field afterwards, already knowing what Lazio did. In Genoa vs Milan, Milan have not lost a single away game; in Monza vs Atalanta, Atalanta, 13th, have yet to win on the road this season. Fiorentina close the matchday hosting seventh-placed Juventus.
Absences
Sassuolo visit Roma with five players out. In Venezia vs Udinese, both sides have absences: Udinese are without Alaba and Gueye, and Venezia are missing Adorante, Franjic and Sverko. Napoli lose Buongiorno and Lazio lose Patric for the game of the matchday, and Genoa will be without Venturino.
Scenarios
✗ Lazio beat Napoli and remain top at the end of the matchday. (missed) Napoli and Lazio drew 1-1; Lazio did not win, but stayed top.
✓ At least one of the bottom three wins this matchday. (held) Venezia, bottom before the matchday, beat Udinese 2-1 and climbed out of last place.
✓ Cagliari end their winless run and beat Frosinone. (held) Cagliari beat Frosinone 1-0 at home.
✓ Inter Milan and Roma win at home. (held) Inter Milan beat Como 2-0 and Roma beat Sassuolo 3-0, both at home.
Serie A standings before the matchday
Pos.
Team
Points
Played
Goal difference
1
Lazio
28
10
16
2
Inter Milan
25
10
13
3
Roma
24
10
18
4
Como
23
10
10
5
Milan
21
10
9
6
Frosinone
20
10
10
7
Juventus
17
10
3
8
Napoli
14
10
4
9
Bologna
14
10
1
10
Torino
13
10
-2
11
Genoa
13
10
-4
12
Cagliari
13
10
-6
13
Atalanta
11
10
-4
14
Lecce
9
10
-10
15
Parma
8
10
-7
16
Fiorentina
8
10
-8
17
Sassuolo
8
10
-10
18
Monza
7
10
-7
19
Udinese
5
10
-12
20
Venezia
3
10
-14
Both teams in each game, side by side
Home
Away
Pos. (home)
Points won % (home)
GD (home)
Points (home)
Last 5 (home)
Pos. (away)
Points won % (away)
GD (away)
Points (away)
Last 5 (away)
Venezia
Udinese
20
10
-14
3
LLLWL
19
17
-12
5
LDLLL
Cagliari
Frosinone
12
43
-6
13
LLLLD
6
67
10
20
WWDWL
Torino
Lecce
10
43
-2
13
LLWWW
14
30
-10
9
LLLWL
Parma
Bologna
15
27
-7
8
WDLLL
9
47
1
14
WWWLW
Roma
Sassuolo
3
80
18
24
WWDWD
17
27
-10
8
LLLLD
Napoli
Lazio
8
47
4
14
LWDLW
1
93
16
28
WWWWW
Genoa
Milan
11
43
-4
13
WWWLW
5
70
9
21
WLWWD
Monza
Atalanta
18
23
-7
7
LLLWL
13
37
-4
11
LDDLW
Inter Milan
Como
2
83
13
25
LWWWW
4
77
10
23
WWWWD
Fiorentina
Juventus
16
27
-8
8
WDLLL
7
57
3
17
WLWLD
What the round changed for the next one
At the top
Napoli and Lazio drew 1-1 and Lazio stayed top. — Lazio remain top but with no room to slip, and host Lecce with Inter Milan right behind them.
Inter Milan beat Como 2-0 at home. — Inter Milan kept the pressure on the leaders and now visit Atalanta, the game most likely to shake up second place.
Roma thrashed Sassuolo 3-0 at home. — Roma remain third with the best goal difference in the table and visit Parma, who are coming off a home defeat.
Milan won 2-1 away at Genoa. — Milan passed Como and moved into fourth; they host sixth-placed Frosinone in a game that weighs on the race for the top places.
Lazio drew in Naples and remain top, but only one point ahead of Inter Milan, who beat Como. Roma, third, kept pace with a rout, and Milan overtook Como to move into fourth. Next matchday, the games that matter most are Atalanta vs Inter Milan, which puts the second-placed side on the road, Lazio vs Lecce, where the leaders cannot drop points to the chasers, and Milan vs Frosinone, where the new fourth-placed side host sixth. Como vs Cagliari shows whether Como bounce back from the defeat in Milan in the race for the top places.
At the bottom
Venezia beat Udinese 2-1 at home and climbed off the bottom. — Venezia left last place to Udinese, who now visit Bologna needing a win to avoid being cut adrift at the bottom.
Atalanta won 1-0 away at Monza. — Monza lost at home, remain in the relegation zone and host Fiorentina in a head-to-head.
Bologna won 2-1 away at Parma. — Parma lost at home and remain right on the edge of the relegation zone; they host third-placed Roma with little margin for error.
Venezia won and left last place to Udinese, who have five points, and Monza lost at home to Atalanta, so the bottom three remain separated by a few points. Parma lost to Bologna and Sassuolo were thrashed by Roma, and both sit just above the relegation zone, still within Monza's reach. Next matchday, the games that matter most at the bottom are Monza vs Fiorentina, a head-to-head between table neighbors, Bologna vs Udinese, where the bottom side visit a mid-table team, and Juventus vs Venezia, which tests Venezia's response away from home. Sassuolo vs Genoa could also push Sassuolo further from Monza or bring them closer.
Results
Venezia beat Udinese 2-1 at home and climbed off the bottom.
Cagliari beat Frosinone 1-0 at home and ended their winless run.
Torino and Lecce drew 1-1.
Bologna won 2-1 away at Parma.
Roma thrashed Sassuolo 3-0 at home.
Napoli and Lazio drew 1-1 and Lazio stayed top.
Milan won 2-1 away at Genoa.
Atalanta won 1-0 away at Monza.
Inter Milan beat Como 2-0 at home.
Fiorentina and Juventus drew 2-2.
Scenarios observed this season
Scenario
Observed frequency (%)
More goals in the second half than in the first
56
Opening goal before the 30th minute
29
One of the teams fails to score
22
Índice Macro for the matchday
Component
Value
Maximum
Source
Data
26
32
10 of 10 games in the matchday · 20 clubs in the competition table · 20 clubs with season statistics · 0 of 10 games with a published market
Context
23
27
10 of 10 games with both teams in the table · 10 of 10 with home/away record · 9 clubs in qualification or relegation places
Trends
22
22
10 of 10 games with five recent results for both sides · 10 of 10 with average goals scored and conceded
Scenarios
19
19
10 of 10 games with goal distribution by period · 10 of 10 with record of games without scoring
Índice Macro
90
100
Sum of the four components
How the Macro Index is computed
The Índice Macro measures, from 0 to 100, how much of the matchday analysis rests on data that has come in, adding up four parts: data, weighted 32, context, 27, trends, 22, and scenarios, 19. This matchday, data scored 26 of 32, and none of the ten games had a published market; context scored 23 of 27; trends, 22 of 22; and scenarios, 19 of 19. The total is 90 of 100, four stars.
Napoli
Lazio
Venezia
Udinese
Roma
Sassuolo
Genoa
Milan
Inter Milan
Como
Fiorentina
Juventus
