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Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenFri, 09 Oct · 3:30pm70% home16% draw12% awayBundesliga Matchday 5
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Round coverage9 of 9 matches18 of 18 clubs. The whole round is up.
Dortmund kicks off unbeaten. Bayern plays in Augsburg.
Borussia Dortmund enters Matchday 5 as the Bundesliga's only team yet to drop a point and opens a closely watched Friday. A slip changes everything; a win leaves Bayern needing three points at WWK Arena.
There's more than first place: surprise fourth-place Augsburg hosts Bayern on Saturday, testing whether the table is for real. At the bottom, pointless Gladbach faces Köln in a decisive Rhine derby.
Standings, results and the fixtures to come are on the full Bundesliga table.
What the round is playing for
Unbeaten at the top
Dortmund leads without dropping a point, ahead of Bayern, which is keeping up the chase.
What it changes: A Dortmund defeat on Friday gives Bayern the chance to take top spot on Saturday. A win widens the gap before the rest of the weekend begins.
The game that settles it: Borussia Dortmund x Werder Bremen
Augsburg in the European places
Augsburg sits fourth—ahead of Leverkusen and Leipzig—in a campaign the market did not expect from a club of its stature.
What it changes: If Bayern wins convincingly, the table starts to take its expected shape. If Augsburg holds firm or wins, the race for Europe gains an unlikely contender.
The game that settles it: FC Augsburg x FC Bayern München
Crisis at the bottom of the table
Gladbach has taken no points from any round, while Union Berlin has a minimal tally; both sit in the automatic relegation zone.
What it changes: Gladbach faces Köln in the Rhine derby—losing would put the season on a very clear course, very early.
The game that settles it: 1. FC Köln x Borussia Mönchengladbach
The match the round turns on
MATCH OF THE ROUND
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FC Augsburg v Bayern MünchenSat, 10 Oct · 10:30amHome9%Draw10%Away80%
vFC Augsburg v Bayern MünchenSat, 10 Oct · 10:30amHome9%Draw10%Away80%Bayern is the weekend's clearest favorite; Augsburg its biggest surprise. The market heavily backs the visitors, but Augsburg is fourth, at home and in form. It tests Augsburg—and Bayern's pursuit.
What the result changes: A Bayern win strengthens its title chase and restores the expected order. An Augsburg win or draw validates its run and puts the club in a European conversation few expected before the season.
After the whistle: How Augsburg responds over the next few rounds after facing Bayern, and whether Leverkusen can keep pace while the table remains tight at the top.
Recent meetings: FC Augsburg v Bayern München
- 2026-01-24 Bayern München 1 x 2 FC Augsburg
- 2025-08-30 FC Augsburg 2 x 3 Bayern München
- 2025-04-04 FC Augsburg 1 x 3 Bayern München
- 2024-11-22 Bayern München 3 x 0 FC Augsburg
- 2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2 x 3 Bayern Munich
Friday fixtures
vBorussia Dortmund v Werder BremenFri, 09 Oct · 3:30pm70% home16% draw12% awayPrices updated 2026-10-05T08:29+00:00.
Strongest convictionBayern München 80%Bayern München v FC Augsburg
Most open match18 ppUnion Berlin v SV Elversberg
Matches covered9
Where these clubs stand
| # | Club | Pts | P | GD | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 12 | 4 | 7 | WWWW |
| 2 | Bayern München | 10 | 4 | 12 | WWDW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 10 | 4 | 9 | DWWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 4 | 5 | LDWW |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 5 | WDWL |
| 6 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 4 | 4 | WLWD |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 4 | 1 | DLWW |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 4 | 0 | WDWL |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 4 | LWLW |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 4 | -1 | DWLD |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 4 | -1 | DWDL |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 | -2 | WLLD |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 | -3 | LDLW |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 4 | -3 | LWLL |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4 | -3 | LLWL |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 4 | -11 | WLLL |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 1 | 4 | -13 | LLLD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 4 | -10 | LLLL |
Friday: the leader makes the first move
Borussia Dortmund plays first, shaping the rest of the round. Werder Bremen arrives with form close to Leverkusen, a recent Bundesliga force, but the market backs the hosts after Dortmund's unbeaten start.
Friday carries extra weight for the leader: a win shifts the pressure to Bayern. Signal Iduna Park is Werder's toughest early test and will show whether its form is real or built against easier opponents.
Friday: the readings
- The perfect run raises expectations The market strongly backs Dortmund at home, but an unbeaten run raises the bar. Anything short of a win will look like weakness, even against an in-form Werder with nothing to lose.
- Werder comes in with market support Werder Bremen is not in poor form—its recent return puts it in Leverkusen's range. The market gives the visitors little chance, but their play suggests a tougher opponent than the odds imply.
What to watch on Friday
- Dortmund's home form Dortmund has not dropped a point at home in the opening rounds. A win locks in the advantage before Bayern plays. A slip creates an immediate opening for a change at the top.
Trends and context
Trends we can see
- Borussia Dortmund venceu 4 dos últimos 4 jogos.
- Borussia Dortmund tem 100% de aproveitamento na competição.
- Werder Bremen está a 5 pontos do líder.
- FSV Mainz 05 está a 5 pontos do líder.
- Bayer Leverkusen está a 5 pontos do líder.
- 1899 Hoffenheim somou apenas 3 pontos nos últimos 4 jogos.
What the market is pricing
- Bayern München is the round's strongest call: 80% in FC Augsburg v Bayern München.
- Union Berlin v SV Elversberg is the most open game: 17 percentage points separate the three outcomes.
- In FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen the market backs the visitor Bayer Leverkusen (44%).
Club context
- 1. Borussia Dortmund Champions League league stage
- 2. Bayern München Champions League league stage
- 3. SC Freiburg Champions League league stage
- 4. FC Augsburg Champions League league stage
- 5. Bayer Leverkusen Europa League league stage
- 6. FSV Mainz 05 Qualifying
- 16. Hamburger SV Relegation Playoffs
- 17. Union Berlin Relegation
- 18. Borussia Mönchengladbach Relegation
What this opens up for the rest of the round: What happens at Signal Iduna Park on Friday resets Saturday: a Dortmund win puts Bayern under pressure not to lose ground; a slip opens the door to a new leader, with Leverkusen also able to look up.
Friday results, and what they changed
Saturday and Sunday fixtures
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FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer LeverkusenSat, 10 Oct · 10:30am32% home24% draw44% away
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1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SVSat, 10 Oct · 10:30am68% home18% draw14% awayvFC Augsburg v Bayern MünchenSat, 10 Oct · 10:30am9% home10% draw80% away
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Union Berlin v SV ElversbergSat, 10 Oct · 10:30am42% home24% draw34% away
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SC Paderborn 07 v VfB StuttgartSat, 10 Oct · 10:30am20% home20% draw60% away
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RB Leipzig v Eintracht FrankfurtSat, 10 Oct · 1:30pm62% home18% draw18% away
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1. FC Köln v Borussia MönchengladbachSun, 11 Oct · 10:30am48% home23% draw29% away
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SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04Sun, 11 Oct · 12:30pm59% home23% draw18% awayPrices updated 2026-10-05T08:29+00:00.
Saturday and Sunday: Bayern, Augsburg's test and the bottom of the table
Saturday holds the heart of the round. Bayern visits Augsburg in a matchup the market sees clearly, heavily backing the visitors. But Augsburg is among the league's best, at home and in form.
Leverkusen visits Mainz after losing last round. The market sees it as Saturday's closest matchup, and Mainz's home form has justified its place among the division's leaders.
On Sunday, pointless Gladbach visits Köln in a crisis-laden Rhine derby. Union Berlin, also in the drop zone, hosts Elversberg and is a slight favorite despite sitting well below the visitors.
Saturday and Sunday: the readings
- Augsburg tests how far this season can go No top-half team faces longer odds than Augsburg at home to Bayern. That's the whole story: fourth hosts second, yet the market sees a wide gap. This round will show whether the odds or table are right.
- Gladbach needs a result—any result There are no published odds for the Köln derby, but the context is clear: Gladbach is the division's worst team right now. Losing to its regional rival would point to a long relegation fight, with no relief ahead.
What to watch on Saturday and Sunday
- Leverkusen looks to respond Leverkusen lost last round and visits Mainz, which has a strong home record. The market sees an open game. A Leverkusen defeat would complicate its European push before the season settles into a rhythm.
After the round
Public market
| Market favourite | How close it is | |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | Borussia Dortmund 70% | Low |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | Bayer Leverkusen 44% | Medium |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim 68% | Low |
| FC Augsburg v Bayern München | Bayern München 80% | Low |
| Union Berlin v SV Elversberg | Union Berlin 42% | Medium |
| SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart | VfB Stuttgart 60% | Low |
| RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | RB Leipzig 62% | Low |
| 1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1. FC Köln 48% | Medium |
| SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04 | SC Freiburg 59% | Low |
Prices updated 2026-10-05T08:29+00:00.
