Round coverage10 of 10 matches20 of 20 clubs. The whole round is up.
None of the three leaders is safe
Série A enters the seventh round with Roma, Inter and Lazio level at the top, separated only by goal difference. This rare picture has lasted five rounds, but this week's games must change it.
Just behind them, Cagliari are a surprise in fourth, while Milan, Juventus, Frosinone and Como are all within reach of the European places. Such a tight top pack means every result reshapes it.
Standings, results and the fixtures to come are on the full Serie A table.
What the round is playing for
1Three-way race for the lead
Roma, Inter and Lazio enter the seventh round level on points, separated by goal difference. All three play this weekend, on different days.
What it changes: Any slip could reorder the top before the round ends. Positions will change more than once from Saturday to Monday, with each result putting pressure on teams yet to play.
The game that settles it: Bologna vs Inter
2Packed G4, with rivals facing off
Cagliari sit fourth after exceeding expectations. Juventus, Milan, Frosinone and Como enter the round just a few points back, all with important games in the coming days.
What it changes: The fight for the fourth European spot will be redrawn by Monday. Juventus host Lazio and Milan face Atalanta—two games that will decide whether Cagliari hold on or come under pressure.
The game that settles it: Juventus vs Lazio
3Relegation picture taking shape
Venezia are bottom without a win in five rounds. Bologna and Genoa complete the Z3, with Bologna hosting Inter on Saturday.
What it changes: Bologna hosting one of the leaders rarely ends with three points for the home side. If it does not, the bottom begins to take the shape it may keep for the rest of the first half.
The game that settles it: Bologna vs Inter
The match the round turns on
MATCH OF THE ROUNDvFrosinone v SassuoloFri, 16 Oct · 3:45pmHome40%Draw26%Away34%
Frosinone and Sassuolo open the round on Friday in the only game with a market available. They occupy the same part of the table; the winner gains belief, while the loser faces urgency.
What the result changes: A home win would cement Frosinone among the G6 contenders and pressure Juventus and Milan, who play Sunday. An away win would put Sassuolo in that pack and show they can stay there.
Recent meetings: Frosinone v Sassuolo
2026-10-16Frosinone 4 x 2 Sassuolo
2026-09-02Sassuolo 1 x 1 Frosinone
2025-05-13Sassuolo 0 x 1 Frosinone
2024-12-14Frosinone 1 x 2 Sassuolo
2024-03-09Sassuolo 1 x 0 Frosinone
Friday fixtures
4 x 2Frosinone v SassuoloFri, 16 Oct · 3:45pm40%home26%draw34%away
Prices updated 2026-10-20T10:08+00:00.
Strongest convictionFrosinone 40%Frosinone v Sassuolo
Most open match14 ppFrosinone v Sassuolo
Matches covered1
Where these clubs stand
#
Club
Pts
P
GD
Last 5
1
Inter
19
7
12
WWDWW
2
Lazio
19
7
10
WWWDW
3
AS Roma
17
7
13
WDDWW
4
AC Milan
15
7
7
WDWDD
5
Como
14
7
5
WDLWW
6
Frosinone
13
7
4
WLWDW
7
Cagliari
13
7
-1
LDWWW
8
Juventus
11
7
1
LDWLD
9
Napoli
10
7
3
LWDWL
10
Torino
10
7
1
WWDLW
11
Atalanta
9
7
-1
LWLLL
12
Lecce
9
7
-3
WLLWL
13
Sassuolo
8
7
-2
LDLWD
14
Monza
7
7
-2
WLWLD
15
Bologna
5
7
-4
LWDLD
16
Udinese
4
7
-7
LLLLL
17
Genoa
4
7
-8
LWLDL
18
Fiorentina
4
7
-9
LLDWL
19
Parma
4
7
-9
LLWLD
20
Venezia
3
7
-10
WLLLL
Frosinone and Sassuolo open the round
Frosinone face Sassuolo at Stadio Benito Stirpe in a game weightier than its Friday slot suggests. Here, points separate G6 hopefuls from mid-table sides, making a poor result costly.
Friday: the readings
Frosinone must justify home favoritism Frosinone lost last time out, ending a positive run. Stadio Benito Stirpe is a genuine factor, but their inconsistency means home advantage is no guarantee—they must live up to their billing.
Sassuolo travel with an eye on the table Sassuolo sit between mid-table and the European contenders. An away win would show they belong in the bigger conversation, while defeat would leave them in a position from which climbing is harder.
Trends and context
Trends we can see
Frosinone venceu 3 dos últimos 5 jogos.
Frosinone tem 62% de aproveitamento na competição.
Frosinone está a 6 pontos do líder.
Sassuolo está a 11 pontos do líder.
Venezia somou apenas 3 pontos nos últimos 5 jogos.
Napoli está a 9 pontos do líder.
What the market is pricing
Frosinone is the round's strongest call: 40% in Frosinone v Sassuolo.
Frosinone v Sassuolo is the most open game: 14 percentage points separate the three outcomes.
Club context
1. Inter Champions League league stage
2. Lazio Champions League league stage
3. AS Roma Champions League league stage
4. AC Milan Champions League league stage
5. Como Europa League league stage
6. Frosinone Play-offs
18. Fiorentina Relegation
19. Parma Relegation
20. Venezia Relegation
What this opens up for the rest of the round: Friday's result sets the context for Saturday: later teams will know where their direct rivals stand before taking the field.
Friday results, and what they changed
Frosinone 4 x 2 Sassuolo
Saturday, Sunday and Monday fixtures
1 x 0Venezia v NapoliSat, 17 Oct · 10:00am1 x 3Bologna v InterSat, 17 Oct · 1:00pm2 x 0AS Roma v GenoaSat, 17 Oct · 3:45pm0 x 3Udinese v LecceSun, 18 Oct · 7:30am1 x 3Fiorentina v ComoSun, 18 Oct · 10:00am3 x 2AC Milan v AtalantaSun, 18 Oct · 1:00pm0 x 3Juventus v LazioSun, 18 Oct · 3:45pm4 x 0Monza v CagliariMon, 19 Oct · 1:30pm0 x 3Parma v TorinoMon, 19 Oct · 3:45pm
Prices updated 2026-10-20T10:08+00:00.
The weekend that reshapes everything
The nine games from Saturday to Monday include Juventus vs Lazio, Bologna vs Inter and Milan vs Atalanta. There is no single decider: each result pressures those still waiting to play.
Bologna host Inter Saturday: a side desperate to escape relegation against a leader seeking consistency. On Sunday, Juventus vs Lazio at Allianz could reorder the top before the day's other games end.
Saturday, Sunday and Monday: the readings
Juventus vs Lazio: the clash that shakes up the top Lazio are level with Roma and Inter at the top and must keep pace against the next group. Juventus can close in with a home win. Allianz will decide who reaches the break up front and who must rethink.
Milan and Atalanta: teams heading in opposite directions Milan enter the round steady after a good run. Atalanta started below expectations and lost consecutive early games, but are now on a positive run. Milan need the win to stay close; Atalanta to validate the recovery.
Who is unavailable
Frosinone
F. GrillitschThigh Injury
F. GrillitschThigh Injury
Sassuolo
D. BolocaMuscle Injury
J. IdzesMuscle Injury
I. KoneBroken Leg
F. LeysenKnee Injury
Y. PazKnee Injury
D. BolocaMuscle Injury
Venezia
A. AdoranteHernia
A. Bella-KotchapThigh Injury
G. BusioThigh Injury
T. CorreiaThigh Injury
B. FranjicShoulder Injury
M. SverkoHip Injury
Napoli
A. BuongiornoKnee Injury
David NeresThigh Injury
C. FavasuliThigh Injury
A. VergaraCalf Injury
A. BuongiornoKnee Injury
David NeresThigh Injury
Bologna
E. HolmThigh Injury
R. OrsoliniThigh Injury
E. HolmThigh Injury
R. OrsoliniThigh Injury
Inter
C. JonesThigh Injury
L. MartinezThigh Injury
B. PavardThigh Injury
J. StonesInjury
C. JonesThigh Injury
L. MartinezThigh Injury
What the round confirmed
Frosinone 4 x 2 Sassuolo
Venezia 1 x 0 Napoli
Bologna 1 x 3 Inter
AS Roma 2 x 0 Genoa
Udinese 0 x 3 Lecce
Fiorentina 1 x 3 Como
AC Milan 3 x 2 Atalanta
Juventus 0 x 3 Lazio
Monza 4 x 0 Cagliari
Parma 0 x 3 Torino
What held
Bologna hosting one of the leaders rarely ends with three points for the home side. Inter won at Bologna, and the gap showed on the pitch, not just on paper. The result kept Bologna in the relegation fight and Inter top.
Milan vs Atalanta, plus the other contenders' games, will decide whether Cagliari hold fourth or come under pressure from below. Cagliari lost away to Monza, a bottom-half side, and fell out of the G4. Milan beat Atalanta to take fourth. Pressure from below arrived faster than the preview expected.
The winner between Frosinone and Sassuolo gains belief; the loser ends the round facing urgency. Frosinone won at home and ended the round in the top six as G6 contenders. Sassuolo went home beaten and stayed in the bottom half, a harder position to escape than before.
What did not
None of the three leaders is safe: the top will shift over the round. Roma, Inter and Lazio played on different days and all won. The pressure each result was meant to put on the next team produced no slip, and they finished in front: Inter and Lazio level, Roma just behind.
Juventus hosting Lazio is a chance to close in on the leaders. The opposite happened: Lazio won away and left Juventus further from the leading pack. Juventus ended behind Frosinone and Cagliari, far from the G4 conversation the preview expected.
The bottom three are Venezia, Bologna and Genoa, and the round will confirm that picture. Venezia won to end their poor run but remain bottom. Fiorentina and Parma lost and entered the relegation zone; Bologna and Genoa also lost but stayed just outside the Z3.
The numbers behind the report
Performance indicators
League position
Points won
Goal difference
Points
Form (last 5)
Frosinone v Sassuolo
6º · 13º
62% · 38%
+4 · -2
13 · 8
High · Low
Venezia v Napoli
20º · 9º
14% · 48%
-10 · +3
3 · 10
Low · Medium
Bologna v Inter
15º · 1º
24% · 90%
-4 · +12
5 · 19
Low · High
AS Roma v Genoa
3º · 17º
81% · 19%
+13 · -8
17 · 4
High · Low
Udinese v Lecce
16º · 12º
19% · 43%
-7 · -3
4 · 9
Low · Medium
Fiorentina v Como
18º · 5º
19% · 67%
-9 · +5
4 · 14
Low · High
AC Milan v Atalanta
4º · 11º
71% · 43%
+7 · -1
15 · 9
Medium · Low
Juventus v Lazio
8º · 2º
52% · 90%
+1 · +10
11 · 19
Low · High
Monza v Cagliari
14º · 7º
33% · 62%
-2 · -1
7 · 13
Medium · High
Parma v Torino
19º · 10º
19% · 48%
-9 · +1
4 · 10
Low · High
Possible scenarios
Frequencies observed in these clubs' games this season. They are not mutually exclusive.
Mais gols no segundo tempo do que no outro — 55%
Placar aberto antes dos 30 minutos — 29%
Uma das equipes sai sem marcar — 22%
★★★★☆Macro Index 90/100How well sourced this report is, not a tip.
Full breakdown
Where the 90 came from
Data26/3210 de 10 jogos da rodada20 clubes na tabela da competição20 clubes com estatísticas da temporada1 de 10 jogos com mercado publicado
Context23/2710 de 10 jogos com as duas equipes na tabela10 de 10 com retrospecto de mando9 clubes em zona de classificação ou rebaixamento
Trends22/2210 de 10 jogos com cinco resultados recentes dos dois lados10 de 10 com média de gols marcados e sofridos
Scenarios19/1910 de 10 jogos com distribuição de gols por período10 de 10 com histórico de jogos sem marcar
Method
Weights: data 32%, context 27%, trends 22%, scenarios 19%. No odds, no stake, no bet result.