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Bundesliga: the seventh round, from leaders Bayern de Munique to the bottom side

Bundesliga: the seventh round, from leaders Bayern de Munique to the bottom side
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Bundesliga matchday 7 runs Friday to Sunday: Bayern visit Freiburg, Dortmund host Frankfurt and Gladbach go looking for points.

The round's thesis

This matchday comes down to the gap between the clubs running the table and the ones in trouble. Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund come in first and second, both unbeaten. Borussia Mönchengladbach open on Friday still without a point. Freiburg, who have won every home game, host the leaders on Sunday.

What is at stake

At the top, Bayern Munich and Dortmund are level on points, with Bayern ahead on goal difference, and Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen sit right behind them in the Champions League places. If the leaders slip up in Freiburg, Dortmund could go top on their own. At the bottom, Borussia Mönchengladbach and Union Berlin hold the relegation spots and Paderborn the relegation play-off spot. All three play this matchday, and Schalke 04, just above them, visit Köln. In mid-table, Mainz and Elversberg, fifth and sixth, hold the European places just below the top.

This round's matches

Anchor matchFreiburg vs Bayern de MuniqueSunday, October 25, 13:30

The leaders visit third place. Freiburg have won all three home games and conceded little there. Bayern Munich are still unbeaten, but on the road they've won only one of three and drawn the other two. It's the hardest test yet of the leaders' unbeaten run, and the game that closes the matchday.

Freiburg 14%
Draw 16%
Bayern de Munique 72%
Stuttgart vs Borussia MönchengladbachFriday, October 23, 15:30

The matchday opens with the bottom club. Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost all six games they've played and have conceded more goals than anyone in the league. Stuttgart, in 13th, have only two wins, but they're at home to the only side still without a point.

Stuttgart 70%
Draw 16%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 14%
Mainz vs Werder BremenSaturday, October 24, 10:30

Mainz, in fifth, have won all three of their away games and have yet to win at home. Werder Bremen sit eighth. Home ground runs against the Mainz pattern, and Bremen have drawn three of their six games.

Mainz 56%
Draw 24%
Werder Bremen 22%
Augsburg vs Union BerlinSaturday, October 24, 10:30

Union Berlin are in the relegation zone, have lost both their away games and conceded plenty in them. Augsburg are still unbeaten at home and score regularly there, which makes this a chance to open a gap on a rival from the bottom half.

Augsburg 52%
Draw 24%
Union Berlin 24%
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht FrankfurtSaturday, October 24, 13:30

Borussia Dortmund, second and unbeaten, have the league's meanest defence. Eintracht Frankfurt have been alternating wins and defeats and have let in ten goals in three away games, while Dortmund are still unbeaten at home.

Borussia Dortmund 66%
Draw 18%
Eintracht Frankfurt 16%
Hoffenheim vs Bayer LeverkusenSunday, October 25, 11:30

Bayer Leverkusen, in fourth, arrive in good form to face a Hoffenheim side that has lost four of six. The visitors also leak goals on the road, though, and Hoffenheim have yet to finish a game without scoring this season: that's where the hosts can make it awkward.

Hoffenheim 34%
Draw 24%
Bayer Leverkusen 42%

Every match this round

All times are Brasília time (UTC−3).

Friday, October 23

  • 15:30 — Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · Stuttgart 70%

Saturday, October 24

  • 10:30 — Mainz vs Werder Bremen · Mainz 56%
  • 10:30 — Augsburg vs Union Berlin · Augsburg 52%
  • 10:30 — RB Leipzig vs Elversberg · RB Leipzig 68%
  • 10:30 — Paderborn vs Hamburgo · Paderborn 42%
  • 10:30 — Colônia vs Schalke 04 · Colônia 46%
  • 13:30 — Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt · Borussia Dortmund 66%

Sunday, October 25

  • 11:30 — Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen · Bayer Leverkusen 42%
  • 13:30 — Freiburg vs Bayern de Munique · Bayern de Munique 72%

The first block

Friday and Saturday set the scene. Stuttgart open against Borussia Mönchengladbach, and on Saturday morning Mainz, Augsburg, Leipzig, Paderborn and Köln play at 10:30 Brasília time, with Dortmund closing out the day. If Dortmund beat Frankfurt before Bayern take the field, the leaders go into Sunday under pressure.

The second block

Sunday answers what the rest of the weekend set up. Hoffenheim v Leverkusen and Freiburg v Bayern Munich close the matchday. They will show whether the leaders hold on to top spot with Dortmund having already played, and whether Leverkusen tighten their grip on a Champions League place away from home.

Round news

No news confirmed by an official source for this matchday so far.

Absences

So far the API lists no confirmed absences for any of the matchday's nine games.

Scenarios

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach are still without a point at the end of the matchday.
  • Bayern Munich are still unbeaten this season at the end of the matchday.
  • Borussia Dortmund beat Eintracht Frankfurt at home.
  • Mainz win at home for the first time this season.

Table before the matchday

Both teams in each game

Scenarios seen across this matchday's clubs

What the market sees in each game

Matchday Macro Index

What the market says

How the Macro Index is computed

Sources

Read also

Author
Dale Hanson
Dale HansonCommunity Manager. X @InHansonWeTrust